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 December 2004 (v04-n11)
Main Story - pgs. 1-10 Trends in Targeted Therapies
Macro Market Commentary - pgs. 11-14
Research Commentary - pg. 15-16
Biotech Monthly Coverage Update - pg. 17-31
NIBM Model Portfolio - pg. 32
(Full outline below...)

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This month's Biotech Monthly explores the concept of intermediate markers of drug activity and the way they will change the way drugs are developed, regulated, and sold. This topic builds upon the June 2004 issue of Biotech Monthly which introduced to Wall Street the idea the era of blockbuster drugs were at an end and the era of personalized medicine was dawning.

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The second half of this decade will be dominated by the rise of personalized therapies and will be a time of often painful transition for the drug industry. This Main Story offers important insight in how intermediate markers will play an important role in this transition.

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The following is an outline of this issue of the NIBM Newsletter.
Main Story - Trends in Targeted Therapies
Introduction
Disclosures
Investment Case
Intermediate Markers
Definition
Examples of intermediate markers
Aphton
Medarex
Dendreon
Side effects as intermediate markers
 
Scientific rationale
Side bar: Type One versus Type Two errors
 
Clinical rationale
Drug development and clinical trials
Trial design
Drug approval
Expert fiddlers
Ongoing developments
Macro Market Commentary - "Thank yous, updates, & prognostications"

Research Commentary - "Theft and other unpleasantries"

Biotech Monthly Coverage Updates

Sonus
Investment case
ID Biomedical
Fluviral deal revisited
Fluviral contribution projections
Table: Fluviral contribution assumptions
Table: 2005-2014 Fluviral revenue contributions
2005 Fluviral approval
Investment case
Indevus
Leaving the state of "Show Me"
Enablex versus Sanctura
IP-751
Corcept
Discovery Labs
Table: Discovery Labs timelines
Aphton
Cortex
Dendreon
Genta
Introgen
ZymoGenetics
TACI-ig
IL-21
rhThrombin
Preclinical
Table: ZymoGenetics milestones
Nabi
Adolor
Alteon
Timelines
Table: Alteon milestones
Safety
Investment case

NIBM Model Portfolio Performance

 
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