(c) 2001 NIBM - Welcome!  Click here to subscribe.
 navigation bar
 August 2005 (v05-n08) - Anniversary Issue
See the complete outline below.
 
This is a special issue of our newsletter. We provide detailed updates on all the companies currently in our coverage universe. Weighing in at over 150 pages, its a must-read for anyone interested in development-stage biotech companies. In this issue, we examine all 21 companies in our coverage universe, ranking them from 1st to 21st. This is easily our most popular issue every year, often becoming a tattered "handbook" in the top desk drawer of professional and independent investors.

Become a Subscriber

If you are interested in one of the companies listed below you cannot miss this issue.

Buy this newsletter

Subscriber direct access

In addition to updated milestone tables for all companies, we asked each management team the following six questions:
  1. You are in a room with your peers from the other companies in our Model Portfolio. The audience will invest in only one company. Give me two or three reasons why it should be your company.
  2. What is the most important strategic decision you’ve made in the last year?
  3. What was your most disappointing setback in the last year?
  4. Does any member of the executive team currently have a hedge, collar, or similar position on your company's stock or stock options?
  5. Without being obligated to comment on your specific product, what must [market segment varies by company] do to demonstrate greater acceptance or interest?
  6. Manufacturing is often a major stumbling block for young companies. How will your company avoid this risk going forward? What unique risks are posed by your manufacturing strategy?
Introduction
About the format
Table: BSR Model Portfolio changes
Table: 2005 Anniversary Issue Rankings
Table: 2005/2004 Anniversary Issue Rankings Comparison
Table: 2004 Anniversary Issue Ranking Performance

 NOTE: Companies appear on this table of contents in alphabetical order. In the actual report, they are ranked from 1-21.

 
Adolor (ADLR) -- 3 pages
 
Table: Timelines
Table: Basic Facts
Table: Publication history (14 updates since 8/2004)
Disclosure
 
POI
OBD
 
Bull Case
Bear Case
Investment Case
Six Questions
 
BioMarin (BMRN) -- 7 pages
 
Table: Timelines
Table: Basic Facts
Table: Publication history (22 updates since 8/2004)
Disclosure
 
Selected product portfolio
Table: Selected markets and lead candidate
Two approved drugs: Aldurazyme & Naglazyme
Phenylketonuria program
Phenoptin development program
Other uses for Phenoptin
Other drugs
Existing partnership
Table: What BioMarin and Serono gets
 
Bull Case
Bear Case
Investment Case
Six Questions
 
Corcept (CORT) -- 9 pages
 
Table: Timelines
Table: Basic Facts
Table: Publication history (1 updates since 8/2004)
Disclosures
 
Introduction
Executive management
The cortisol hypothesis
Quick market introduction for psychotic depression
Treating psychotic depression with mifepristone
Table: Ongoing Corlux pivotal trials
Current non-pivotal trials
Alzheimer's disease
Severe weight gain due to antipsychotic medications
Selective GR-II antagonists
An unusual stock
Table: Insider ownership
 
Bull Case
Bear Case
Investment Case
Six Questions
 
Cortex (AMEX:COR) -- 6 pages
 
Table: Timelines
Table: Basic Facts
Table: Publication history (6 updates since 8/2004)
Disclosures
 
Staying the course
History
A bit more than a nutshell
Stoll at the helm
The present
 
Bull Case
Bear Case
Investment Case
Six Questions
 
Dendreon (DNDN) -- 11 pages
Table: Timelines
Table: Basic Facts
Table: Publication history (45 updates since 8/2004))
Disclosure
 
Where we are now
BLA or not to BLA?
Provenge data quality
Timelines
BLA filing
FDA review
9902b
9902a and pooled data
P-11/PROTECT
Provenge approval outlook
Neuvenge
trp-p8
Odds and ends
 
Bull Case
Bear Case
Investment Case
Six Questions
 
Discovery Labs (DSCO) -- 9 pages
 
Table: Timelines
Table: Basic Facts
Table: Publication history (30 updates since 8/2004))
Disclosure
 
The crux of the matter
Our current thoughts
Further impacts
Focus on the NICU
Thoughts on the near future
The nCPAP bomb
 
Bull Case
Bear Case
Investment Case
Six Questions
Forbes Medi-Tech (FMTI) -- 8 pages
 
Table: Timelines
Table: Basic Facts
Table: Publication history (7 updates since 8/2004)
Disclosures
 
Understanding the statin shake-up
Lipid market expands
Cholesterol inhibition to the rescue
Zetia's Achilles' heel
FMTI's absorption inhibitors
FM-VP4
The Phase IIa trial
Table: FM-VP4 Phase IIa (with Zetia results comparison)
Table: FM-VP4 and Zetia patient comparison
Where from here
Market potential
Reducol
Capacity
 
Bull Case
Bear Case
Investment Case
Six Questions
 
Genta (GNTA) -- 8 pages
 
Table: Timelines
Table: Basic Facts
Table: Publication history (20 updates since 8/2004)
Disclosures
 
Lessons not learned
Genasense in CLL
Market size
Melanoma
Other Genasense programs
Prostate cancer
Extensive SCLC
Second line NSCLC
Elderly AML
Timeline risks
Genasense sub-q
Genasense partnership
Ganite
 
Bull Case
Bear Case
Investment Case
Six Questions
 
ID Biomedical (IDBE) -- 13 pages
 
Table: Timelines
Table: Basic Facts
Table: Publication history (32 updates since 8/2004)
Disclosures
 
FluViral
The contract
The BLA
The Loot
Table: Fluviral EPS contribution - base case
Table: Fluviral EPS contribution - aggressive case
StreptAvax
M proteins and GRaS
The vaccine
Timelines
Partners
The market
PGCVax
FluINsure
New strategy
Market potential
Partner
Other stuff
 
Bull Case
Bear Case
Investment Case
Six Questions
 
Indevus (IDEV) -- 6 pages
 
Table: Timelines
Table: Basic Facts
Table: Publication history (25 updates since 8/2004)
Disclosure
 
The Sanctura saga
Sanctura XR
Esprit Pharma, formerly known as Indevus?
The pipeline
Aminocandin
Pagoclone
IP-751
NEBIDO
PRO-2000
Player to be named later
 
Bull Case
Bear Case
Investment Case
Six Questions
Introgen (INGN) -- 6 pages
 
Table: Timelines
Table: Basic Facts
Table: Publication history (8 updates since 8/2004)
Disclosure
 
Secretive or hiding something?
What has changed?
  •  
    No SPA and changed trials
    Our (brief) Ah-ha moment
    Ah-ha turns to Uh-oh
  • Timelines
    Shift hits the fan
     
    Bull Case
    Bear Case
    Investment Case
    Six Questions
     
    Medarex (MEDX) -- 6 pages
     
    Table: Timelines
    Table: Basic Facts
    Table: Publication history (9 updates since 8/2004)
    Disclosures
     
    Pivotal MDX-010 trial
    Melanoma
    Table: Pivotal trial arms
    Chemo combo trial
    HIV
    GVAX
    MDX-060
    MDX-070
    MDX-214
    MDX-1100
     
    Bull Case
    Bear Case
    Investment Case
    Six Questions
     
    Nabi  (NABI) -- 6 pages
     
    Table: Timelines
    Table: Basic Facts
    Table: Publication history (11 updates since 8/2004)
    Disclosures
    Why StaphVax?
    Why not StaphVax?
    The financing
    Other product highlights
    Table: Nabi products on the market
    Table: Nabi products in the clinic
    PhosLo
    Staphylococcus aureus Type 336 Vaccine
    NicVax
     
    Bull Case
    Bear Case
    Investment Case
    Six Questions
     
    Oncolytics Biotech (ONCY) -- 5 pages
     
    Table: Timelines
    Table: Basic Facts
    Table: Publication history (Debuted June 2005)
    Disclosures
     
    Not much to update
    Good presentations
    Oncolytic viruses
    The reovirus
    Reolysin clinical trials
    Table: Reolysin clinical trials
     
    Bull Case
    Bear Case
    Investment Case
    Six Questions
     
    Onyx (ONXX) -- 3 pages
     
    Table: Timelines
    Table: Basic Facts
    Table: Publication history (11 updates since 8/2004)
    Disclosures
     
    All about sorafenib
    Sorafenib trials
    Table: Sorafenib trials
     
    Bull Case
    Bear Case
    Investment Case
    Six Questions
     
    SciClone (SCLN) -- 9 pages
     
    Table: Timelines
    Table: Basic Facts
    Table: Publication history (9 updates since 8/2004)
     
    Disclosures
    The new CEO
    Upcoming milestones
    Metastatic melanoma
    Hepatitis C
    Table: Key Zadaxin Trials for Hep-C
    Other items
     
    Bull Case
    Bear Case
    Investment Case
    Six Questions
    Seattle Genetics (SGEN) -- 6 pages
     
    Table: Timelines
    Table: Basic Facts
    Table: Publication history (9 updates since 8/2004)
    Disclosures
     
    SGN-15
    SGN-30
    Patent issues
    SGN-40
    SGN-33
    SGN-35
    SGN-70
    SGN-75
     
    Bull Case
    Bear Case
    Investment Case
    Six Questions
    Sonus (SNUS) -- 7 pages
     
    Table: Timelines
    Table: Basic Facts
    Table: Publication history (13 updates since 8/2004)
    Disclosures
     
    "Pivotal" is an understatement
    Trial design
    Table: TOCOSOL paclitaxel pivotal Phase III trial design
    All about the side effects
    Competition
    Partner
    Pipeline
     
    Bull Case
    Bear Case
    Investment Case
    Six Questions
    Targeted Genetics (TGEN) -- 4 pages
     
    Table: Timelines
    Table: Basic Facts
    Table: Publication history (8 updates since 8/2004)
    Disclosures
     
    So what's different this time
    tgAAC-94
    tgAAC-09 (HIV)
    Collaborations
     
    Bull Case
    Bear Case
    Investment Case
    Six Questions

    Valentis (VLTS) -- 5 pages

    Table: Timelines
    Table: Basic Facts
    Table: Publication history (13 since 8/2005)
    Disclosure
     
    Strange stuff
    Simple story going forward
    The fate of del-1
     
    Bull Case
    Bear Case
    Investment Case
    Six Questions
     
    ZymoGenetics (ZGEN) -- 6 pages
     
    Table: Timelines
    Table: Basic Facts
    Table: Publication history (13 updates since 8/2004)
     
    rhThrombin (recombinant human thrombin)
    TACI-ig
    B-cell lymphomas
    Lupus
    Rheumatoid arthritis
    Partner
    IL-21
    IL-29
    Partnerships
     
    Bull Case
    Bear Case
    Investment Case
    Six Questions
     
    Macro Market Commentary
    Inflow of cash the primary theme
     
    Biotech Sector Short Interest
    Chart: NASDAQ Biotech Index (NBI) short interest (indexed)
    Chart: NBI short interest as a percentage of total NASDAQ short interest
    Table: Top 15 NBI short interest as a percentage of float

    BSR Model Portfolio Performance

     
    menubar_09-03.GIF (4869 bytes)
    Back to our home page
    Send this page to a friend
    Enter your name   Enter friend's e-mail
    (None of this information is stored)