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August
2005 (v05-n08)
- Anniversary Issue |
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- See the complete outline below.
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- This is a special issue of our newsletter. We provide
detailed updates on all the companies currently in our
coverage universe.
Weighing in at over 150 pages, its a must-read for anyone
interested in development-stage biotech companies. In this issue, we examine all 21
companies in our coverage universe, ranking them from 1st to 21st.
This is easily our most popular issue every year, often becoming a
tattered "handbook" in the top desk drawer of professional and
independent investors.
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| If you are interested in one of the companies
listed below you cannot miss this issue. |
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Subscriber direct access |
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In addition to updated milestone
tables for all companies, we asked each management team the following
six questions:
- You are in a room with your peers from the other companies in
our Model Portfolio. The audience will invest in only one company. Give me two or three
reasons why it should be your company.
- What is the most important strategic decision youve made
in the last year?
- What was your most disappointing setback in the
last year?
- Does any member of the executive team currently have a hedge,
collar, or similar position on your company's stock or stock options?
- Without being obligated to comment on your specific
product, what must [market segment varies by company] do to
demonstrate greater acceptance or interest?
- Manufacturing is often a major stumbling block for
young companies. How will your company avoid this risk going forward?
What unique risks are posed by your manufacturing strategy?
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- Introduction
- About the format
- Table: BSR Model Portfolio changes
- Table: 2005 Anniversary Issue Rankings
- Table: 2005/2004
Anniversary Issue Rankings Comparison
- Table:
2004 Anniversary Issue Ranking Performance
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NOTE: Companies
appear on this table of contents in alphabetical order. In the
actual report, they are ranked from 1-21. |
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- Adolor (ADLR) -- 3 pages
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- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (14 updates since 8/2004)
- Disclosure
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- POI
- OBD
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
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- BioMarin (BMRN) -- 7 pages
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- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (22 updates since 8/2004)
- Disclosure
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- Selected product portfolio
- Table: Selected markets and lead candidate
- Two approved drugs: Aldurazyme & Naglazyme
- Phenylketonuria program
- Phenoptin development program
- Other uses for Phenoptin
- Other drugs
- Existing partnership
- Table: What BioMarin and Serono gets
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
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- Corcept (CORT) -- 9 pages
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- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (1 updates since 8/2004)
- Disclosures
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- Introduction
- Executive management
- The cortisol hypothesis
- Quick market introduction for psychotic
depression
- Treating psychotic depression with
mifepristone
- Table: Ongoing Corlux pivotal trials
- Current non-pivotal trials
- Alzheimer's disease
- Severe weight gain due to antipsychotic
medications
- Selective GR-II antagonists
- An unusual stock
- Table: Insider ownership
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
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- Cortex (AMEX:COR) -- 6 pages
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- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (6 updates since 8/2004)
- Disclosures
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- Staying the course
- History
- A bit more than a nutshell
- Stoll at the helm
- The present
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
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- Dendreon (DNDN) -- 11 pages
- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (45 updates since 8/2004))
- Disclosure
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- Where we are now
- BLA or not to BLA?
- Provenge data quality
- Timelines
- BLA filing
- FDA review
- 9902b
- 9902a and pooled data
- P-11/PROTECT
- Provenge approval outlook
- Neuvenge
- trp-p8
- Odds and ends
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
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- Discovery Labs (DSCO) -- 9 pages
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- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (30 updates since 8/2004))
- Disclosure
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- The crux of the matter
- Our current thoughts
- Further impacts
- Focus on the NICU
- Thoughts on the near future
- The nCPAP bomb
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
- Forbes Medi-Tech (FMTI) -- 8 pages
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- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (7 updates since 8/2004)
- Disclosures
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- Understanding the statin shake-up
- Lipid market expands
- Cholesterol inhibition to the rescue
- Zetia's Achilles' heel
- FMTI's absorption inhibitors
- FM-VP4
- The Phase IIa trial
- Table: FM-VP4 Phase IIa (with Zetia results
comparison)
- Table: FM-VP4 and Zetia patient comparison
- Where from here
- Market potential
- Reducol
- Capacity
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
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- Genta (GNTA) -- 8 pages
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- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (20 updates since 8/2004)
- Disclosures
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- Lessons not learned
- Genasense in CLL
- Market size
- Melanoma
- Other Genasense programs
- Prostate cancer
- Extensive SCLC
- Second line NSCLC
- Elderly AML
- Timeline risks
- Genasense sub-q
- Genasense partnership
- Ganite
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
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- ID Biomedical (IDBE) -- 13 pages
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- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (32 updates since 8/2004)
- Disclosures
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- FluViral
- The contract
- The BLA
- The Loot
- Table: Fluviral EPS contribution - base case
- Table: Fluviral EPS contribution - aggressive
case
- StreptAvax
- M proteins and GRaS
- The vaccine
- Timelines
- Partners
- The market
- PGCVax
- FluINsure
- New strategy
- Market potential
- Partner
- Other stuff
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
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- Indevus (IDEV) -- 6 pages
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- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (25 updates since 8/2004)
- Disclosure
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- The Sanctura saga
- Sanctura XR
- Esprit Pharma, formerly known as Indevus?
- The pipeline
- Aminocandin
- Pagoclone
- IP-751
- NEBIDO
- PRO-2000
- Player to be named later
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
- Introgen (INGN) -- 6 pages
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- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (8 updates since 8/2004)
- Disclosure
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- Secretive or hiding something?
- What has changed?
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- No SPA and changed trials
- Our (brief) Ah-ha moment
- Ah-ha turns to Uh-oh
- Timelines
- Shift hits the fan
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
Medarex (MEDX) -- 6 pages
- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (9 updates since 8/2004)
- Disclosures
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- Pivotal MDX-010 trial
- Melanoma
- Table: Pivotal trial arms
- Chemo combo trial
- HIV
- GVAX
- MDX-060
- MDX-070
- MDX-214
- MDX-1100
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
Nabi (NABI) -- 6 pages
- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (11 updates since 8/2004)
- Disclosures
- Why StaphVax?
- Why not StaphVax?
- The financing
- Other product highlights
- Table: Nabi products on the market
- Table: Nabi products in the clinic
- PhosLo
- Staphylococcus aureus Type 336 Vaccine
- NicVax
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
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Oncolytics Biotech (ONCY) -- 5 pages
- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (Debuted June 2005)
- Disclosures
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- Not much to update
- Good presentations
- Oncolytic viruses
- The reovirus
- Reolysin clinical trials
- Table: Reolysin clinical trials
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
Onyx (ONXX) -- 3 pages
- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (11 updates since 8/2004)
- Disclosures
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- All about sorafenib
- Sorafenib trials
- Table: Sorafenib trials
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
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SciClone (SCLN) -- 9 pages
- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (9 updates since 8/2004)
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Disclosures
- The new CEO
- Upcoming milestones
- Metastatic melanoma
- Hepatitis C
- Table: Key Zadaxin Trials for Hep-C
- Other items
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
- Seattle Genetics (SGEN) -- 6 pages
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- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (9 updates since 8/2004)
- Disclosures
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- SGN-15
- SGN-30
- Patent issues
- SGN-40
- SGN-33
- SGN-35
- SGN-70
- SGN-75
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
- Sonus (SNUS) -- 7 pages
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- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (13 updates since 8/2004)
- Disclosures
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- "Pivotal" is an understatement
- Trial design
- Table: TOCOSOL paclitaxel pivotal Phase III
trial design
- All about the side effects
- Competition
- Partner
- Pipeline
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
- Targeted Genetics (TGEN) -- 4 pages
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- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (8 updates since 8/2004)
- Disclosures
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- So what's different this time
- tgAAC-94
- tgAAC-09 (HIV)
- Collaborations
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
Valentis (VLTS) -- 5 pages
- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (13 since 8/2005)
- Disclosure
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- Strange stuff
- Simple story going forward
- The fate of del-1
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
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- ZymoGenetics (ZGEN) -- 6 pages
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- Table: Timelines
- Table: Basic Facts
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Table: Publication history (13 updates since 8/2004)
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- rhThrombin (recombinant human thrombin)
- TACI-ig
- B-cell lymphomas
- Lupus
- Rheumatoid arthritis
- Partner
- IL-21
- IL-29
- Partnerships
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- Bull Case
- Bear Case
- Investment Case
- Six Questions
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- Macro Market Commentary
- Inflow of cash the primary theme
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- Biotech Sector Short Interest
- Chart: NASDAQ Biotech Index (NBI)
short interest (indexed)
- Chart: NBI short interest as a
percentage of total NASDAQ short interest
- Table: Top 15 NBI short interest as a
percentage of float
BSR Model Portfolio Performance
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